Towards more sustainable transportation
Receding horizon predictive energy management for powered truck-trailers using probabilistic efficiency models
Abstract
Heavy-duty trucks are significant contributors to global CO2 emissions, necessitating innovative decarbonization solutions. Electric-powered trailers that assist the main tractor's internal combustion engine represent a promising approach. However, their limited energy storage and ’sensor-poor’ modular design, lacking access to the tractor's internal data, are key challenges that limit their adoption. This paper presents a novel receding-horizon predictive Energy Management Strategy (EMS) that overcomes these challenges. A hierarchical controller that optimizes a flexible ’saving efficiency’ threshold is proposed, rather than a rigid State of Charge (SoC) trajectory commonly used in existing hierarchical EMSs. This ’saving efficiency’ metric quantifies the diesel fuel saved per unit of electrical energy consumed. A Dynamic Programming (DP) algorithm, operating at a high level in a receding-horizon framework, leverages statistical efficiency distributions to determine the optimal threshold. A low-level, real-time controller then activates assistance only when the current estimated efficiency exceeds this threshold. This strategy enables opportunistic, real-time control in a sensor-poor environment. The proposed framework is validated in a comprehensive simulation environment using NREL drive cycles and over 2200 km of recorded real-world test driving profiles. Results demonstrate substantial improvements: in simulation, the proposed RH-EMS increased the net CO2 savings by 32.3% on NREL drive cycles and by 19% on simulations using real-world driving profiles compared to a standard linear-discharge baseline strategy. The successful development of this EMS represents an important step towards enabling substantial, real-world CO2 reductions in the heavy-duty logistics sector.
Details
- Organisationseinheit(en)
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Institut für Mechatronische Systeme
- Externe Organisation(en)
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BPW Bergische Achsen KG
Karlsruher Institut für Technologie (KIT)
- Typ
- Artikel
- Journal
- Energy Conversion and Management: X
- Band
- 30
- ISSN
- 2590-1745
- Publikationsdatum
- 05.2026
- Publikationsstatus
- Veröffentlicht
- Peer-reviewed
- Ja
- ASJC Scopus Sachgebiete
- Erneuerbare Energien, Nachhaltigkeit und Umwelt, Kernenergie und Kernkraftwerkstechnik, Feuerungstechnik, Energieanlagenbau und Kraftwerkstechnik
- Ziele für nachhaltige Entwicklung
- SDG 7 - Erschwingliche und saubere Energie, SDG 9 - Industrie, Innovation und Infrastruktur
- Elektronische Version(en)
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https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecmx.2026.101707 (Zugang:
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)